SYMBOLIC SYSTEMS
170/270:
Decision Behavior: Theory and Evidence
(3-4 units)
Winter Quarter 2006-2007,
Stanford University
Instructor: Todd
Davies
Meeting Time: Tuesdays and Thursdays, 1:15-2:30 PM (first meeting
on January 9)
Location: 200-107 (History Corner, first floor)
Instructor's Office: 460-040C (Margaret Jacks Hall, lower
level)
Phone: x3-4091; Fax: x3-5666
Email: davies at
csli.stanford.edu
Office Hours: Tuesdays, Wednesdays, and
Thursdays 10:30- 11:55 AM
Course website:
http://www.stanford.edu/class/symbsys170
(homepage is this syllabus)
Updated March 8, 2007
Course Description:
This course will provide an introduction to the study
of judgment and decision making, relating theory and evidence from
disciplines such as psychology, economics, statistics, neuroscience,
and philosophy. We will trace the development and critique of
"homo economicus" as a model of human behavior, and more recent
theories based on empirical findings. Students should be
comfortable with formal reasoning. On the theory side, some
background in
probability, logic, set theory, and/or game theory would be helpful,
but each topic will be developed as much as possible from first
principles. On the empirical side, a previous course in
psychology such as Psychology 55 or 70 would be helpful for thinking
about experimental tests of hypotheses about human decision making.
Format and Requirements:
The course will
consist of informal, interactive lectures, based on notes that will be
handed out and posted on this page. Students will be required to
complete 3 problem sets (handed out one week or more in advance of
their due
dates) and a project, which will be presented in preliminary form in
class during Dead Week
and then turned in as a final paper. More information about the
project will be given out within the first two weeks of class.
This is the first
time this particular course has been taught. Students will see
course materials as they are developed. Therefore, the emphasis
during class sessions will be on further explaining and filling in gaps
in the draft notes, rather than on polished lectures. At this
early stage in its development, the course is likely to be best suited
to a small class of students with a high degree of interest in the
material.
Grading Basis:
1. Three problem sets (60%)
2. Project (presentation and final paper) (40%)
Topics
(will probably not get through all of these): |
Rationality notes [.pdf] slides [.pdf] |
Belief notes [.pdf] slides [.pdf] |
Preference notes [.pdf] |
Confidence notes [.pdf] |
Estimation notes [.pdf] |
Induction notes [.pdf] |
Action notes [.pdf] slides
[.pdf] |
Projection |
Interaction |
Agreement |
Exchange |
Value |
Adaptation |
Aggregation |
Welfare |
Morality |
There is no textbook for the course, other than the notes that will
be handed out before each lecture. Each lecture's notes will
provide a list of references specific to that topic. The texts
below may be useful supplements to the course in general and will be
placed on reserve in Green Library:
Jonathan Baron (2000). Thinking
and Deciding. Third edition. Cambridge University Press.
Reid Hastie and Robin Dawes (2001). Rational Choice in an Uncertain World.
Second edition. Sage Publications.